We've
been going back and forth for a century
[Keynes]
I want to steer markets,
[Hayek]
I want them set free
There's
a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Hayek]
Blame low interest rates.
[Keynes]
No... it's the animal spirits
[Keynes
Sings:]
John
Maynard Keynes, wrote the book on modern macro
The
man you need when the economy's off track, [whoa]
Depression,
recession now your question's in session
Have
a seat and I'll school you in one simple lesson
BOOM,
1929 the big crash
We
didn't bounce back-economy's in the trash
Persistent
unemployment, the result of sticky wages
Waiting
for recovery? Seriously? That's outrageous!
I
had a real plan any fool can understand
The
advice, real simple-boost aggregate demand!
C,
I, G, all together gets to Y
Make
sure the total's growing, watch the economy fly
We've
been going back and forth for a century
[Keynes]
I want to steer markets,
[Hayek]
I want them set free
There's
a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Hayek]
Blame low interest rates.
[Keynes]
No... it's the animal spirits
You
see it's all about spending, hear the register cha-ching
Circular
flow, the dough is everything
So
if that flow is getting low, doesn't matter the reason
We
need more government spending, now it's stimulus
season
So
forget about saving, get it straight out of your head
Like
I said, in the long run-we're all dead
Savings
is destruction, that's the paradox of thrift
Don't
keep money in your pocket, or that growth will never lift...
because...
Business
is driven by the animal spirits
The
bull and the bear, and there's reason to fear its
Effects
on capital investment, income and growth
That's
why the state should fill the gap with stimulus both...
The
monetary and the fiscal, they're equally correct
Public
works, digging ditches, war has the same effect
Even
a broken window helps the glass man have some wealth
The
multiplier driving higher the economy's health
And
if the Central Bank's interest rate policy tanks
A
liquidity trap, that new money's stuck in the banks!
Deficits
could be the cure, you been looking for
Let
the spending soar, now that you know the score
My
General Theory's made quite an impression
[a revolution] I transformed the econ profession
You
know me, modesty, still I'm taking a bow
Say
it loud, say it proud, we're all Keynesians now
We've
been goin' back n forth for a century
[Keynes]
I want to steer markets,
[Hayek]
I want them set free
There's
a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Keynes]
I made my case, Freddie H
Listen
up , Can you hear it?
Hayek
sings:
I'll
begin in broad strokes, just like my friend Keynes
His
theory conceals the mechanics of change,
That
simple equation, too much aggregation
Ignores
human action and motivation
And
yet it continues as a justification
For
bailouts and payoffs by pols with machinations
You
provide them with cover to sell us a free lunch
Then
all that we're left with is debt, and a bunch
If
you're living high on that cheap credit hog
Don't
look for cure from the hair of the dog
Real
savings come first if you want to invest
The
market coordinates time with interest
Your
focus on spending is pushing on thread
In
the long run, my friend, it's your theory that's dead
So
sorry there, buddy, if that sounds like invective
Prepare
to get schooled in my Austrian perspective
We've
been going back and forth for a century
[Keynes]
I want to steer markets,
[Hayek]
I want them set free
There's
a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Hayek]
Blame low interest rates.
[Keynes]
No... it's the animal spirits
The
place you should study isn't the bust
It's
the boom that should make you feel leery, that's the thrust
Of
my theory, the capital structure is key.
Malinvestments
wreck the economy
The
boom gets started with an expansion of credit
The
Fed sets rates low, are you starting to get it?
That
new money is confused for real loanable funds
But
it's just inflation that's driving the ones
Who
invest in new projects like housing construction
The
boom plants the seeds for its future destruction
The
savings aren't real, consumption's up too
And
the grasping for resources reveals there's too few
So
the boom turns to bust as the interest rates rise
With
the costs of production, price signals were lies
The
boom was a binge that's a matter of fact
Now its devalued capital that makes up the slack.
Whether
it's the late twenties or two thousand and five
Booming
bad investments, seems like they'd thrive
You
must save to invest, don't use the printing press
Or
a bust will surely follow, an economy depressed
Your
so-called "stimulus" will make things even worse
It's
just more of the same, more incentives perversed
And
that credit crunch ain't a liquidity trap
Just
a broke banking system, I'm done, that's a wrap.
We've
been goin' back n forth for a century
[Keynes]
I want to steer markets,
[Hayek]
I want them set free
There's
a boom and bust cycle and good reason to fear it
[Hayek]
Blame low interest rates.
[Keynes]
No it's the animal spirits
"The
ideas of economists and political philosophers, both when they are
right and when they
are wrong, are more powerful than is commonly
understood. Indeed
the world is ruled by little else. Practical men, who
believe themselves
to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are
usually the slaves
of some defunct economist."
John
Maynard Keynes
The
General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money
"The
curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they
really know about
what they imagine they can design."
F
A Hayek
The
Fatal Conceit